Publications

Selected works

• Leakage-aware benchmarking of temporal data preparation for hourly energy forecasting

  Sesay, M. M. (2026). Energy Conversion and Management: X, 30, Article 101791.

  Read the article · DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101791

• Probabilistic forecasting of monthly dengue cases using epidemiological and climate signals: A BiLSTM-Negative Binomial Model versus Mechanistic and Count-Model Baselines

  Sesay, M. M., Ngunyi, A., & Imboga, H. (2026). PLOS Global Public Health, 6(3), e0005404.

  Read the article · DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0005404

• Horizon-dependent forecast ranking under structural change: A rolling-origin benchmark for global COVID-19 incidence

  Sesay, M. M., & Wembo, M. S. (2026). medRxiv preprint.

  Read the preprint · DOI: 10.64898/2026.03.11.26348121

• An explainable hybrid transformer–BiLSTM framework for multivariate household energy demand forecasting with weather integration

  Sesay, M. M., Ngunyi, A., & Imboga, H. (2026). Energy Informatics.

  Read the article · DOI: 10.1186/s42162-026-00635-8

• A non-stationary NB–INAR(1) model with time-varying beta–binomial thinning: Properties and rolling estimation

  Wembo, M. S., Malenje, B. M., & Sesay, M. M. (2026). Communications in Mathematical Biology and Neuroscience, Article 56.

  Read the article · DOI: 10.28919/cmbn/9839

• Probabilistic forecasting of monthly dengue cases using epidemiological and climate signals: A BiLSTM–Naive Bayes Model versus Mechanistic and Count-Model Baselines

  Sesay, M. M., Ngunyi, A., & Imboga, H. (2025). medRxiv preprint.

  Read the preprint · DOI: 10.1101/2025.10.20.25338419

• Multi-Scale Transformer Framework for Explainable Medium-Term Household Energy Forecasting

  Sesay, M. M., Ngunyi, A., & Imboga, H. (2025). Preprint.

  Read the preprint · DOI: 10.22541/au.176005132.26391639/v1

Research identifier

ORCID: 0009-0009-5442-9949